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Goal of research: EVALUATION OF THE MARKET AND FORECAST OF ITS DEVELOPMENT FOR 2013-2020
Regions of research: RUSSIA AND REGIONS OF RF
Main blocks of research:
RUSSIAN FLEET OF RAILROAD FREIGHT CARS
SEGMANTATION OF THE RUSSIAN RAILROAD FREIGHT CARS MARKET
PRODUCTION OF RAILROAD FREIGHT CARS IN RUSSIA
THE LARGEST PRODUCERS OF RAILROAD FREIGHT CARS
ANALYSIS OF PRICES ON THE MARKET OF RAILROAD FREIGHT CARS
TRENDS ON THE RUSSIAN MARKET OF RAILROAD FREIGHT CARS
STATE REGULATION ON THE MARKET OF RAILROAD FREIGHT CARS
FORECAST OF RAILROAD FREIGHT CARS MARKET DEVELOPMENT FOR 2013-2020
The market is segmented:
BY REGIONS OF RUSSIA
BY TYPES OF CARS
BY THE LARGEST ENTERPRISES
The largest Russian enterprises with profiles:
«NPK Uralvagonzavod » JSC
« Altayvagon » JSC
« Ruzkhimmash » JSC
« Zavod metallokonstruktsiy » JSC
« Promtraktor-Vagon » JSC
The research includes the main enterprises’ production volumes, financial performance of activities, balance sheets, profit-and-loss reports, cash-flow statements, subsidiary enterprises and other information.
Information sources used:
Federal State Statistics Service
Ministry of Agriculture of RF
Federal Customs Service
Federal Tax Service
Field expert evaluations
Retail sales reports
Materials of the field’s main players
Field printed and electronic publications
The research presents 32 schedules, 12 diagrams and 44 tables.
EXTRACTS FROM RESEARCH
SUBJECT OF RESEARCH In the USSR freight and passenger cars were produced by about ten plants, two of the enterprises provided about a half of needs of the country. It is the Ural car-building plant, nowadays "NPK Uralvagonzavod " JSC, and Mariupol " Azovmash ", nowadays " Mariupolskiy zavod tyazhelogo machinostroeniya " PAO .
Crisis on the market of freight cars was marked in the 1990th when the Ministry of Railways, the main customer on the rolling stock market during this period, began to reduce purchases of new products. At the same time the main part of the state budget intended for purchase of cars, began to leave to car-repair plants which extended service life of cars for rather low price, often for even over 30-33 years. As a result production of cars decreased considerably.
Since 1998, growth of industrial outputs, and growth of freights transportation outlined. So, during 1998-2012 railroad freight turnover increased 2,2 times, thereby having caused an increase of production of the freight rolling stock .
RUSSIAN FLEET OF FREIGHT CARS The most capacious and the most saturated segment of freight cars market is open cars segment. More than two thirds of open cars fleet in Russia operate for not more than 22 years. However, the standard term of service of 28,5% of open cars came to the end and requires renovation. In the above, as of beginning of 2013, the share of open cars with the expired term of service did not change much and was equal to 28,3%
As of beginning of 2013 surplus of open cars was formed on the market due to the decrease of volumes of freights for transportation in the universal rolling stock, during 2012 cars of this type were actively purchased. And, the third significant problem is the decrease of cars turnover at RZHD. The third parameter directly depends on the second one. It is such an endless circle, the speed decreases, the demand for cars increases that leads to the surplus. At the same time, over a quarter of open cars has to be utilized.
PRODUCTION OF FREIGHT CARS Russian production of trunk freight cars in 2012 reached 71 251 units. It is the highest parameter for the past 15 years.
During 2010-2012 Russian enterprises increased actively production volumes to satisfy the deferred demand which arose during the crisis. An increase of production was conditioned by the growth of supplies of deficit car casting from China on the Russian market that allowed producers to increase loads capacity. As a result in the previous year, 2012, volume of freight rolling stock production was 67% more than in pre-crisis 2008 .
In the structure of trunk freight cars production in 2012 the largest share belonged to open cars (57,6%), and in 2009 they had not more 38%. Cistern cars, in contrast, during the same period decreased significantly their share in general production structure : from 3*,9% in 2009 to **,6% in 2012. A similar situation was marked in the segment of covered freight cars: during 4 years the decrease amounted to almost 10 % .
In addition, production in such segments as flat cars increased (+6,7 % during 2009-2012) and hopper-shaped cars (+*,2%).
1. Number of population of Russia in 1990, 2000, 2005 and 2008-2012, ths people
2. Dynamics of resident population number of Russia in three forecast variants in 2011-2031, ths people
3. Dynamics of actual household disposable income in Russia and annual rate of its growth in 2000-2012, %
4. Forecast of the ratio of demographic load dynamics in 2011-2033
5. Dynamics of number of employed and unemployed people in economically active population by federal districts of RF in 2006-2012, %
6. Dynamics of GDP of RF in prices of 2008 in 2002-2012 and forecast for 2013-2015, billion rubles
7. Investments into the fixed capital of RF in 2002-2012 and forecast for 2013-2015, billion rubles
8. Surplus/deficit of consolidated budget of RF in 2006-2010, % to GDP
9. Dynamics of total external debt of RF in 2009-2013 (as of 1 January), mln dollars
10. Dynamics of CPI in 2006-2012 and forecast for 2013-2015, % to the corresponding period of the previous year
11. Dynamics of the population of Russia and world in 2000-2012 and forecast up to 2100, mln people
12. Share of RF in the world GDP in 2001-2012 and forecast for 2013-2016, %
13. Dynamics of freight turnover on railroad transport and trunk freight cars production in 1997 -2012
14. Dynamics of Russian import of freight cars in 2006-2012
15. Dynamics of import of freight cars from Ukraine in cost terms by years in 2010-2012, ths dollars
16. Dynamics of investments into production of unpowered railroad, tram and other cars for freights transportation by years in 2010-Sep. 2012, mln rubles
17. Degree of wear of the main fleet of railroad transport in 2006-2012, %
18. Dynamics of volume of Russian trunk freight cars production in 2006-2012, units
19. Dynamics of volume of Russian trunk freight cars production by years in 2006-Jan 2013, units
20. Dynamics of trunk freight cars production by types in January 2010-2013, units
21. Dynamics of volume of Russian trunk freight unpowered covered cars production in 2006-2012, units
22. Dynamics of volume of Russian cisterns production in 2006-2012, units
23. Dynamics of volume of Russian open cars production in 2006-2012, units
24. Dynamics of volume of Russian open cars production by years in 2009-Jan 2013, units
25. Dynamics of volume of Russian flat cars production in 2006-2012, units
26. Dynamics of indexes of prices for trunk freight cars in RF v 2011-Jan. 2013, % compared to the end of the previous year
27. Dynamics of producer prices for trunk freight cars in RF in 2007-2013* , ths rub/unit
28. Production of foundry iron in RF in 2009-2012, ths tons
29. Index of rental rent for railroad rolling stock in 2008-Jan 2013, %
30. Share of rummage for resale in cost terms by the type of activity according to FEA CN « Production of unpowered railroad, tram and other cars for freights transportation» in 2006-2012, %
31.Dynamics of freight cars production in RF in 2009-2012, forecast for 2013-2020, %
32. Forecast of the demand forfreight rolling stock in Russia in 2013-2020, ths units
List of diagrams
1. Structure of the Russian population compared to the working age in 2011-2031, % ( medium variant of the forecast )
2. Dynamics of the number of employed and unemployed people in Russia in 2000-2012 and forecast for 2013-2015 , mln people
3. Change of structure of the external debt of RF in 2009-2013 ( as of 1 January), %
4. Structure of freight cars fleet of CIS countries and Baltia in 2012, %
5. Structure of Russian freight cars fleet by types of owners in 2012, %
6. Age structure of open cars fleet in RF in 2012, %
7. Surplus of freight cars fleet in Russia for 2013, %
8. Production structure of trunk freight cars by types in 2009-2012, %
9. Regional structure of Russian trunk freight unpowered covered cars production in 2012, %
10. Regional structure of Russian cisterns production in 2012, %
11. Regional structure of Russian open cars production in 2012, %
12. Regional structure of Russian flat cars production in 2012, %
List of tables
1. Number of population in the largest cities of Russia according to the Censuses of 2002 and 2010 and 1 January 2013 , ths people
2. Structure of freight rolling stock in RF by types in January 2013, ths units
3. Dynamics of investments in production of unpowered railroad, tram and other cars for freights transportation in 2006-Sep. 2012, mln rubles
4. Dynamics of trunk freight cars production by regions and districts of RF in 2006-2012, units
5. Dynamics of trunk freight cars production by types in 2006-2012, units
6. Dynamics of trunk freight unpowered covered cars production by regions and districts of RF in 2009-2012, units
7. Dynamics of cisterns production by regions and districts of RF in 2006-2012, units
8. Dynamics of open cars production by regions and districts of RF in 2006-2012, units
9. Dynamics of flat cars production by regions and districts of RF in 2006-2012, units
10. Production volumes of freights cars by the largest producers of RF and CIS countries in 2010-2012, units
11. Subsidiaries of «NPK Uralvagonzavod» JSC
12. Shares/founders of «NPK Uralvagonzavod» JSC
13. Production volumes of «NPK Uralvagonzavod» JSC
14. Balance sheet of «NPK Uralvagonzavod» JSC, ths rubles
15. Profit and loss statement of «NPK Uralvagonzavod» JSC, ths rubles
16. Cash flow statement of «NPK Uralvagonzavod» JSC, ths rubles
17. Financials of «NPK Uralvagonzavod» JSC
18. Subsidiaries of «Altayvagon» JSC, people
19. Shares/founders of «Altayvagon» JSC
20. Production volumes of «Altayvagon» JSC
21. Balance sheet of «Altayvagon» JSC, ths rubles
22. Profit and loss statement of «Altayvagon» JSC, ths rubles
23. Cash flow statement of «Altayvagon» JSC, ths rubles
24. Financials of «Altayvagon» JSC
25. Subsidiaries of «Ruzkhimmash» JSC
26. Shareholders/founders of «Ruzkhimmash» JSC
27. Production volumes of «Ruzkhimmash» JSC
28. Balance sheet of «Ruzkhimmash» JSC, ths rubles
29. Profit and loss statement of «Ruzkhimmash» JSC, ths rubles
30. Cash flow statement of «Ruzkhimmash» JSC, ths rubles
31. Financials of «Ruzkhimmash» JSC
32. Subsidiaries of «DKZ» LLC
33. Shares/founders of «Zavod metallokonstruktsiy» LLC
34. Production volumes of «Zavod metallokonstruktsiy» LLC
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